Checkpoint: Strategy Design and Backtesting
Quiz
- Which set of slots must every testable trading rule set fill?
- Entry, exit, and stop loss only
- Entry, sizing, and a profit target
- Universe, signal, and Sharpe ratio target
- Universe, entry, exit, and sizing (plus a timing convention)
- In the 20/60 moving average crossover example, why does the strategy not trade before bar 60?
- The 60-day slow average is undefined during the warm-up period, so no valid signal exists
- The 20-day average needs 60 bars to become valid
- Trading is only allowed after the first 60 trades
- The first 60 bars are always a holiday period with missing data
- Your rule computes a signal from bar t's close. Where should the fill happen to avoid lookahead bias?
- At bar t+1's open
- At bar t's close, the same price that generated the signal
- At bar t+1's close, after the position is marked
- At bar t's open, before the signal is known
- A strategy does 250 round trips per year. Slippage is 5 bps per fill and commission is 5 bps per fill. Roughly how much does execution cost per year?
- About 25% of capital
- About 50% of capital
- About 12.5% of capital
- About 5% of capital
- The largest peak-to-trough decline in an equity curve is called the ____.
- A backtest that looks brilliant on the exact data used to choose its parameters is suffering from ____.
- Write the full rule set for your capstone strategy using the five slots (universe, entry, exit, sizing, timing). Then check it for ambiguity and warm-up handling.
- Take your capstone backtest output and defend whether it shows a real edge. Use the equity curve, trade log, and at least one robustness check.
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